Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. 0:04. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. Suite 100 font-size: 12px; This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. table.tableizer-table { CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. border: 1px solid #CCC; Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. In the only . Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. } This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . margin: 3px; Happy Jack. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 121. . Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. 7 Winners on Monday! . border: 1px solid #CCC; Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. Your TDN download has begun. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. As of 02.26.23. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. Hence, their status as longshots. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. I've got a good ownership group. [citation needed]. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. Photo: Benoit. color: #FFF; University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. Play today with NYRA Bets! Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. font-weight: bold; The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. 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